The performance of Britain's new PM gives a hint of what the post-Bush era may be like.
George W. Bush's British manservant, Tony Blair, is someplace in the Middle East doing little more than meets-and-greets with Israelis and certain selected Palestinians. It's nothing more than Blair's trying to sweep the shards of broken Iraq under the rug — he helped break it, so he should try to clean it up.
"Manservant" is too distinguished an image. Much of the world will continue to see the bubbly Blair as the Bush regime's loyal little puppy. But now that Gordon Brown is the new British PM, we've entered an era of what John Feffer of the Institute for Policy Studies calls "post-poodle politics."
Brown (left, with Bush) is a different animal. He won't faithfully yip with joy around Bush. He's known to be sober and reserved, more of a St. Bernard than a feisty, cute terrier like Bush's pal Barney.
More importantly, Brown may be more like a St. Bernard, but he won't be coming to the Bush regime's rescue. The British PM is more likely to take several dumps on Bush's carpet.
The way Brown practices foreign policy — even what he's already done as he tries to extract his country from the Iraq debacle — gives us a preview of what a post-Bush regime could look like.
Unfortunately, one step Brown has already taken — halting the influence of his advisers on career civil servants — will probably never happen in U.S. presidential politics. As Ian Davis notes in Foreign Policy in Focus:
In Dick Cheney's Bush regime, a small coterie of Cheney, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, Rove, and the like ran roughshod over more pragmatic types like generals Eric Shinseki (on the number of troops needed to "conquer" Iraq) and Tony Zinni (who believed that the road to peace led through Jerusalem instead of Baghdead).
Brown's more likely to rely on his military people in the field than has Blair, let alone the Bush regime. And that means a quicker exit by the Brits from Iraq. Davis says:
Blair's regime didn't seem to have much faith in its people on the ground. Back in 2005, Blair thought so much of his Foreign Office career diplomats that he immediately canned his ambassador to Uzbekistan, Craig Murray, after Murray — a boil on Blair's butt — had the audacity to denounce Uzbek dictator Islam Karimov's torture tactics.
Don't expect to see any photos of Gordon Brown chatting about the "war on terror" with Cheney on the steps of 10 Downing Street, as Blair did in 2002 during the secret plotting of the Iraq invasion.
And as for Iran? No matter how much Cheney and his crew are itching to pull the trigger, this dog Brown won't hunt. As Davis says:
Finally, Brown won't be stirring up the populace to support the current war on Terra. More from Davis:
Which U.S. presidential candidate sounds the most like Gordon Brown? Well, it ain't Hillary Clinton, who's in thrall to the right-wing American-Israeli lobby. Is it Barack Obama? At least he talks about talking with our dastardly enemies. Like Brown, Obama has little experience in directing foreign policy.
For once, a newspaper editorial — a British one, in the July 30 Daily Mail — sums things up nicely when it comes to the shift from Blair to Brown:
By the time our presidential election rolls around, Brown will have been in office for about a year. His performance should at least give us an idea of what — and who — it may take to start undoing the damage of the Bush era.
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