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Mitt Romney Beats Rick Santorum 2-1 in New York: Poll

Remember a few weeks ago, when it looked like New York's April 24 primary might actually matter?

Well, even though the G.O.P. presidential candidate has yet to be definitively decided, national stats suggest that Mitt Romney has a very healthy lead, with 658 delegates compared to Rick Santorum's 281.

Still, for what it's worth, a Quinnipiac University poll released today does put Romney at a 2-1 lead over top rival Santorum in the scramble for the Empire State's 95 delegates.

Thing is, it's still unclear how important/unimportant April 24 is. The Washington Post cautions that New York is more powerful than it might appear: "If Romney's victories Tuesday night in Wisconsin, Maryland and the District served as a death sentence for Santorum's campaign, New York promises to be the executioner." Some, however, contend that we're completely irrelevant.

That said, Romney currently bests Santorum 54-21 percent with likely Republican primary voters.

Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul are neck-and-neck (and unlikely to win) with 9 percent and 8 percent of the votes, respectively. Eight percent of probable G.O.P voters don't know who they will pick, and 39 percent might change their minds by the time the primary rolls around.

And, no surprise here: Barack Obama beats Romney 56-33 percent and Santorum 59-30 percent.

In terms of the U.S. Senate, Kirsten Gillibrand is performing solidly in polls, with a 60-21 percent approval rating, "her highest score ever," according to Quinnipiac.

Gillibrand also tops her likely G.O.P. competitors by 2-1.

Though Thursday's developments directly favor Romney, it doesn't look like his competitors will back down: Santorum and Gingrich will attend the NYGOP's annual dinner April 19 as "special guests."

Follow Victoria Bekiempis @vicbekiempis.


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