Nate Silver Predicts Republican Odds of Victory in Today's Senate Race are "3:1"

New York is looking to the North today as Martha Coakley attempts to keep Ted Kennedy's old Senate seat for the Democrats. The Massachusetts senate race has the cover of the Post and has President Obama pleading with New York Democrats (via e-mail) to report to a phone bank today at Organizing for America's mid-town offices.

Meanwhile, Nate Silver is predicting that Republican Scott Brown's chances of victory are 3:1. The Brooklyn based statistician's FiveThirtyEight.com "correctly predicted the outcome of all 35 Senate races in 2008" using a model based on many polls.

House Democrats and the White House are bracing for a possible Republican victory by making contingency plans to finish health care legislation without a 60 vote supermajority in the Senate. The White House has finally set January 27 as the date for the State of the Union, which has been in flux as the President monitored the progress of health care legislation and the Brown-Coakley race.


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