Nate Silver

  • Blogs

    June 24, 2014

    Triumph of the Sexy Nerd: Gay Millennials Reject the Chelsea Boy

    In the video for Jonny McGovern's song "Sexy Nerd," guys strip down from cardigan sweaters, bow ties and pocket protectors to tighty-whities and black-rimmed glasses as McGovern sings, "Take your clothes off, but leave your glasses on . . . I need a man to sit on my laptop and open my download." T ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 5, 2013

    Bill de Blasio Elected Mayor of New York in a Landslide Victory Over Joe Lhota

    At 11:36 a.m. Tuesday -- five and a half hours after the polls opened, but a full nine and a half before they would close -- Gawker declared de Blasio's victory over Joe Lhota. At 1:35 p.m., statistician Nate Silver assigned the likelihood de Blasio would be delivering a victory speech that night ... More >>

  • Blogs

    January 30, 2013

    Nate Silver (and Puppies) Know Who Wins The Super Bowl

    Nate Silver, the statistical genius who predicted the outcome of the last two presidential elections and the most recent Senate race, has now revealed his pick for the winner of the Super Bowl. Are you ready for it? It's Beyonce! Nope, it's actually the San Francisco 49ers. And, unfortunately for ... More >>

  • Blogs

    December 24, 2012

    The 12 Months of Crazy: Rightbloggers' Greatest Hits of 2012

    It's been a hell of a year for conservatives, so naturally it's been a flaming, bloody hell of a year for our subjects the rightbloggers. If this is the sort of thing that gladdens your heart, then sit by the fire and let us brighten your holiday season by reviewing, month by month, the rightblogg ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 12, 2012

    Rightbloggers' Solution to Obama's Reelection: Bring Back Culture War and White People!

    It would be cruel to take too much pleasure in the rightblogger reactions to last Tuesday's events. Lest we forget, Democrats too have been known to lose faith in their fellow Americans when a big election doesn't go their way. So let us, after a brief review of their wrathful ejaculations, focus o ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 12, 2012

    Here's the Official Post-Election Petition Asking Obama to Let New York Secede from the Country

    Up until election night, there was a legitimate, widespread fear that President Obama was going to lose the 2012 election. Liberals were pissed; many even spoke about moving to Canada, or Australia, or Britain, or any place that wasn't the United States but where people still spoke English. Then c ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 9, 2012

    The Best of Nate Silver's Burrito Blog

    Nate Silver is the New York Times statistician who predicted President Obama's reelection with statistical precision, and whose forecasts caused a "Drunk Nate Silver" snowball on Twitter. He also used to run a burrito blog called the Burrito Bracket back in 2007, way back before he correctly predict ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 9, 2012

    NY State Liquor Authority Keep the Booze Flowing

    Due to Sandy, Gov. Cuomo and the New York State Liquor Authority announced that they will take measures to help venues with liquor licenses in the wake of Hurricane Sandy, including extending license renewal dates, free license replacements, and New Year's Eve permits. [See More: The Best of Nate S ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 6, 2012

    The First Election Day Ballots were Counted at Midnight, and Someone got Blown Out

    Yesterday, President Barack Obama and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney completed their final full day of what will go down as one of the most incessant, important, negative and, yes, divisive presidential races in the history of the United States. The two candidates spent their last 24 hour ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 4, 2012

    Rightbloggers Anticipate Romney Landslide, Denounce Nate Silver, Katy Perry

    The election's Tuesday, and the whole political blogosphere is one endless screaming rah-rah for one candidate or another. We advise against all direct contact with it from now till next weekend. The preemptive victory dances of the left blogosphere are, as we never tire of paraphrasing Jed Leland, ... More >>

  • News

    October 3, 2012
  • Blogs

    September 30, 2012

    Unlike All Of The Media, Paul Ryan Is Not So Psyched For The Debate

    Over the past two weeks, as the media buries the grave for Romney's campaign and writes its tombstone, we've heard it a million times, over and over again: the debates could change everything. The debates are going to be the most exciting television this fall. The debates will finally show the human ... More >>

  • Blogs

    August 4, 2012

    Stop-and-Frisks, Crime Spikes and a Lesson in Statistics

    A few months back, we reported on the outrageous statements made by the Boys in Blue that praised the low murder rate as a sign of victory for stop-and-frisk. And our argument was simple: if you stop-and-frisk everyone, then, yes, the murder rate will go down. But this is the kind of upside-down tho ... More >>

  • Blogs

    March 30, 2012

    Baseball Predictions Are Much Better In Hindsight

    ​Suppose you brought all the smartest baseball kids on the block together, locked them in a house for two weeks with an unlimited supply of Twinkies and beer, and asked them to pool all their statistical tools to predict the upcoming baseball season? What might the result look like? SBNation's J ... More >>

  • Blogs

    October 30, 2011

    Rightbloggers Double Down on the Second Coming of Herman Cain

    Months ago, rightbloggers were celebrating the rise of Herman Cain. Then they grew restless, and moved on to Michele Bachman, Rick Perry, and Chris Christie, each of whom disappointed. Now Cain is back, hilariously leading in some GOP Presidential polls and winning some straw polls, too. Cain is pr ... More >>

  • Blogs

    October 14, 2011

    This Is What the Occupy Wall Street Arrest Pattern Looks Like

    C.S. MuncyCops faced off against protesters this morning in the Financial District.​A number of Occupy Wall Street protesters were arrested this morning during confrontations with the police on various streets in the Financial District. NYPD spokesman Paul Browne puts the number at 14. One man ... More >>

  • Blogs

    September 26, 2011

    Harry Levine of "We Are Always Encouraged When the Police Decide to Obey the Law"

    Queens College​Much of what we know about the racial discrepancy between marijuana use and marijuana arrests in New York comes largely from the research of one man: Queen College sociology professor Harry Levine. Levine is the go to guy for information on marijuana and the criminal justice sys ... More >>

  • Blogs

    September 24, 2011

    Was Bloomberg's Case of White Mayor's Burden the Straw That Broke Ray Kelly's Back?

    ​As we learned yesterday from the excellent reporting of WNYC's Ailsa Chang, NYPD Commissioner Ray Kelly has ordered that cops stop arresting people for marijuana (or "marihuana," as the NYPD spells it) if the pot was never in public view. The timing of this announcement is curious. Ever sinc ... More >>

  • Blogs

    September 12, 2011

    Ruben Diaz, Sr.: "I Praise the Lord" for Ability to Support Republican Bob Turner in NY -9

    C.S. Muncy​"Senator Reverend" Ruben Diaz, Sr., the sole Democratic Senator to vote against the Marriage Equality Act, has just announced that he's supporting Republican Bob Turner in tomorrow's special election in NY-9, which will fill the seat vacated by Anthony Weiner. Gee, we wonder...wha ... More >>

  • Blogs

    August 13, 2011

    Holy Crap, it's the Ames Straw Poll!

    Frontrunner Michele Bachmann has her eyes on the prize.​Today, in Ames, Iowa, the race for the Republican presidential candidacy begins its gestation. Candidates, pundits and voters flock to the campus of Iowa State University to, according to the Los Angeles Times, "mingle, eat barbecue and h ... More >>

  • Blogs

    June 3, 2011

    You Are More Likely to Get Laid on a Wednesday

    ​In a very important undertaking, Christian Rudder of OkCupid and Nate Silver met up to talk about various dating -- okay, let's call it what it is -- sex statistics, because everyone loves statistics that help them have sex. OkCupid being OkCupid, they're very good at figuring out these datin ... More >>

  • Blogs

    April 22, 2011

    Ruben Diaz Sr.: Gay Marriage Over My Dead Body

    ​UPDATE AFTER THE JUMP: Why Diaz's date for a protest presents a special problem for a potential counter-protest. As the newly formed New Yorkers United to Marry sets their sights on the New York Senate, there's one vote they're definitely not going to swing. It's no real surprise that Senat ... More >>

  • Blogs

    April 12, 2011

    Huffington Post Hit With $105 Million Lawsuit By 9,000 Angry Unpaid Bloggers

    ​In its intermittent battles with unpaid writers, The Huffington Post and its (often reluctant) defenders have trotted out a number of arguments, including most commonly the assertion that the bloggers write without compensation for attention, and most like it just fine that way. Others have a ... More >>

  • Blogs

    February 28, 2011

    Rightbloggers Compare Large National Protests (Union) Unfavorably with Large National Protests (Koch Brothers)

    Last weekend rallies were held in all 50 states in support of the teachers' union in Wisconsin. And at the Wisconsin state capitol, at least 70,000 people came out on Saturday to protest Governor Walker's attempt to break the union. Sounds like a big deal, right? Hundreds of thousands of people tur ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 2, 2010

    Live-Bonging the Prop. 19 Vote with Broam Chronsky

    ​As the results of America's midterm elections come to light, the Village Voice's expert panel of political thinkers and shapers will be weighing in live over the course of the evening. Covering California's landmark vote on whether or not to legalize Marijuana, Proposition 19, is our special ... More >>

  • Blogs

    September 23, 2010

    Andrew Cuomo, Carl Paladino, and Those Nutty Polls

    ​The day before Mike Bloomberg defeated Bill Thompson by 4.6 percent of the vote last November, Quinnipiac said the mayor would win by 12 points. Its poll the day before the 2005 election predicted Bloomberg would beat Fernando Ferrer by 38 points, twice his actual margin. The good news for ... More >>

  • Blogs

    August 30, 2010

    Press Clips, Day 8, Lunch Edition: New York vs. The New Yorker Cage Match Edtion

    Pictured: a figurative portrait of New York Observer senior editor Christian Lorentzen. ​Press Clips has returned to the roost, and we're starting the week off with great news, great media squabbles, hypocrisy, and self-awareness. In other words, your Monday Media Proctology Exam has arrived. ... More >>

  • Blogs

    August 25, 2010

    Dr. Doom ("Nouriel Roubini"): 40% Chance of "Renewed Recession" for American Economy Is

    ​Nouriel Roubini -- who's basically living like a rap star after screaming about how utterly fucked the American economy was before it happened, watching it happen, and telling everyone how he told them so -- just made a headline tonight when he put the chances of a "renewed recession" for Ame ... More >>

  • Blogs

    August 16, 2010

    Mosque Near Ground Zero Becoming Political Hot Potato

    Our little neighborhood construction flap over whether to build a mosque (which is really like the equivalent of an Islamic version of the Jewish Community Center) near Ground Zero took a huge step onto the national and then international stages over the weekend. At a Ramadan Iftar dinner at the Wh ... More >>

  • Blogs

    June 27, 2010

    Bringing Down Dave Weigel Reactions Round-Up: Who Dunnit and Why?

    ​Speculation continues to swirl surrounding the leaked listserv emails that led to the resignation of Dave Weigel, the Washington Post's blogger on the conservative beat. To recap: Weigel belonged to an exclusive group of political reporters and commentators, headed by fellow WaPo young Ezra K ... More >>

  • Blogs

    April 19, 2010

    Statistician Nate Silver Takes on the KFC Double Down

    Robert SietsemaBad, or just drawn that way?​We were content to rate the KFC Double Down a two out of five blechs and leave it at that, but FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver has taken it upon himself to add some interesting analysis to the already hyper-analyzed monstrosity. Statistically speaking, ... More >>

  • Blogs

    April 11, 2010

    Nate Silver Rates Park Slope Top New York Neighborhood

    ​Nate Silver, the baseball statistician whose analysis of political polls has made his one of the top independent political websites in the country, has turned his eye on New York and picked Park Slope as our top neighborhood.

  • Blogs

    March 18, 2010

    Yankees Prospects Look Grim -- Star Pollster Nate Silver

    ​If Nate Silver is correct, both the Democratic Party and the New York Yankees might be headed for tough times this fall. The ace political pollster/baseball analyst projects the numbers for 1,600 major league ballplayers in the current Baseball Prospectus 2010, and things don't look good for ... More >>

  • Blogs

    January 19, 2010

    Nate Silver Predicts Republican Odds of Victory in Today's Senate Race are "3:1"

    When Nate Silver talks...​New York is looking to the North today as Martha Coakley attempts to keep Ted Kennedy's old Senate seat for the Democrats. The Massachusetts senate race has the cover of the Post and has President Obama pleading with New York Democrats (via e-mail) to report to a phon ... More >>

  • Music

    December 29, 2009

    Vijay Iyer Tops the Fourth Annual Village Voice Jazz Poll

    Historicity and records from other fresh faces take our 2009 jazz poll

  • Blogs

    October 26, 2009

    New Poll: Mayoral Election Out of Reach, Give Up

    The election is a week from tomorrow, and the final vote-discouraging polls are rolling in. Today Quinnipiac shows Mike Bloomberg up 53 to 3r percent among likely voters -- pretty much what the Marist Poll showed last week. The only question, says Quinnipiac's polling director: "Will voters see thos ... More >>

  • News

    June 24, 2009
  • Blogs

    June 18, 2009

    City's Public (and Maybe Private) Drinking Down

    The new Zagat New York City Nightlife Guide is out, and its survey indicates that citizens are not hitting the bars and clubs like they used to. Zagat finds 56 percent of survey respondents going out less, 38 percent finding cheaper places, 27 percent ordering fewer drinks, etc. Given the economy, ... More >>

  • Blogs

    April 17, 2009

    Cheek, in Review: 7 Days of Runnin' Scared

    "As Christians we are sorry if you have ever felt pushed away from Church or ever felt like you didn't fit in. That was people, not Jesus." -- message handed out by members of the Awakening Church at Union Square station. Tea parties were all the rage -- literally! We read the tea leaves and att ... More >>

  • Blogs

    April 16, 2009

    2,000 Tea Party Denounces Obama Spending, Cheers USA, Fox News

    On February 28, a Tea Party demonstration in New York's City Hall Park drew about 250 protesters who decried President Obama as a socialist, a communist, and the second coming of Hitler. This evening's Tea Party on the edge of the same park was much, much bigger -- stretching on the west sidewalk fr ... More >>

  • Blogs

    February 23, 2009

    Oscar Night Rightbloggers Mad at Milk, Indians

    We're still congratulating ourselves on beating Nate Silver and other geniuses with our Oscar predictions. But, as you might imagine, rightbloggers had a worse night -- not just in predicting, but in reaction to Sean Penn's win for Milk. "As I emphasized in my article from earlier this week," harrum ... More >>

  • Blogs

    February 21, 2009

    Alleged Leaker, Nate Silver, Carpetbagger, and Runnin' Scared Pick the Oscar Winners!

    Yes, Carly Simon won an Oscar, but not for Costume Design. Photo by Alan Light. The Oscars are tomorrow night, and an alleged leak of the winners is making it more interesting than usual. The Academy has denounced the list as a "complete fraud." If so, it should be exposed tomorrow, though the ever ... More >>

  • Blogs

    February 16, 2009

    Nate Silver Takes All the Suspense Out of the Oscars

    Every year people bitch that the Oscars are boring, and this year's event just lost what little non-wardrobe interest it had, because Nate Silver has called the winners. The supergenius statistician who predicted the last Presidential election's results with uncanny accuracy tells New York magazine ... More >>

  • Blogs

    January 12, 2009

    Out There In The Dark: Rightbloggers Go Hollywood!

    As we get closer to the actual transition, rightbloggers are shifting gears. They're losing interest in the remaining pre-inaugural Obama business. We probably won't see anything like the Hillary Clinton Constitutional crisis again. Leon Panetta's CIA appointment drew some criticism on the grounds t ... More >>

  • Blogs

    December 10, 2008

    Prognostication is a Lonely Business

    Some guy no one has ever heard of comes out of nowhere to predict, with uncanny accuracy, that Barack Obama will win the presidency.No, we're not talking about Nate Silver. You've probably heard of Nate, a statistics nerd who founded a website ( that analyzed and critiqued nation ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 24, 2008

    Rightbloggers On Palin's Turkey Slaughter ("The Lady's Got Spunk") and Other Big Wins

    On November 22 hundreds of rightblogger sites celebrated "V-I Day" -- the end of the Iraq war. This accompanied no government declarations; in fact this weekend Iraq's foreign minister warned that early withdrawal of American troops would lead to "piracy," and a Baghdad mob defiled an effigy of Geor ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 4, 2008
  • Blogs

    August 29, 2006

    Your Turn: Where the Yankees Spend Big

    With the Yankees safely on the road to the postseason (a 98 percent shot of getting there, according to Baseball Prospectus' Playoff Odds Report) the Voice this week takes a look at the team's two big-money issues: The $1.3 billion stadium project it's building in the Bronx's Macombs Dam Park, a ... More >>

  • NYC Life

    August 22, 2006

    Atlas Slugged

    Alex Rodriguez is one of the greatest Yankees ever. And the whole world is on his back?

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