Tom Duane says he has the votes to pass a gay marriage bill in the state senate. NY1 is less sure. They surveyed the senators and got 27 firm no votes (including five Democrats) and only 20 firm yeses. As there are eight Republicans among the undecided/uncommitted and we all know how they are, it’s a lot easier for the anti-gay side to get to 32 votes than for the gayniks. We note with interest that one of the Democratic no votes is from Darrel Aubertine, yesterday mentioned as a possible contender for John McHugh’s newly vacated Congressional seat. That’s how Democrats get elected upstate: act as rightwing as possible. We retain our low hopes for the bill.