In the latest poll, Bill de Blasio has surpassed the magical 40 percent of the vote needed to avoid a runoff in the Democratic primary.
His stunning surge past Christine Quinn and Bill Thompson has brought him to 43 percent of support from potential voters, up from 36 percent on Aug. 28. Thompson sits at 20 percent and Quinn, the former frontrunner, at 18 percent. A stubborn 7 percent of New Yorkers still like Anthony Weiner. John Liu and Sal Albanese follow, with 8 percent undecided.
In a run-off, which we think is still likely, de Blasio beats Quinn, 66 to 25, and Thompson, 56 to 36. Thompson would beat Quinn 59 to 33 in a runoff.
De Blasio is actually leading Thompson by 2 to 1 among African-Americans.
Quinn and Thompson took a lot of shots at de Blasio in last night’s final primary debate, calling him a candidate who changes his position depending on politics. Umm, who of them isn’t?
Keep in mind that de Blasio still isn’t a lock. Twenty-four percent of voters say there’s a good chance they’ll change their minds.
Meanwhile, Joe Lhota has a 48 to 24 percent advantage over John Catsimatidis.