Naturally, they might change–especially when I see every last film–but right now, this is what I’m predicting on goldderby.com (where they ask various commentators for their incredibly prescient forecasts and expect them to be accurate).
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1–Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
2–Sally Field, Lincoln
3–Helen Hunt, The Sessions
4–Amy Adams, The Master
5–Maggie Smith, Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
SUPPORTING ACTOR
1–Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
2–Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
3–Ewan McGregor, The Impossible
4–Eddie Redmayne, Les Miserables
5–Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
BEST ACTRESS
1–Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
2–Naomi Watts, The Impossible
3–Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
4–Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
5–Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
BEST ACTOR
1–Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
2–Denzel Washington, Flight
3–Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
4–John Hawkes, The Sessions
5–Richard Gere, Arbitrage
BEST FILM
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playback
Life of Pi
Argo
The Master
Zero Dark Thirty [pictured above]
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Moonrise Kingdom
The Hobbit